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WTF is Going On at The FED?

How Money Works

WTF is Going On at The FED?

Summarised with Bite · 15 min read

IntroQuick summary

Jerome Powell's Fed chairmanship ends in two weeks, but his replacement Kevin Warsh is stuck in Senate limbo over wealth questions and Epstein connections. Meanwhile, Powell might refuse to vacate his board seat until a DOJ investigation wraps up, creating a bureaucratic standoff just as the Fed faces crushing pressure to cut rates amid tariffs, war-driven oil shocks, and possibly fake economic data.

Summary6 sections

0:00 – 9:00

The Chairman Who Won't Leave

Picture this: Jerome Powell's term as Fed chairman expires in 14 days, but he's sitting in his office with no intention of leaving. Not because he wants to cling to power, but because until 48 hours ago, the Department of Justice was investigating him for a $2.5 billion cost overrun on the Fed's headquarters renovation. The investigation was transparently political, designed to pressure Powell into cutting interest rates faster. But here's the bureaucratic twist that makes this fascinating: Powell's chairmanship expires, sure, but his seat on the Board of Governors doesn't end until 2028. This matters because the Fed chairman isn't a dictator. They're more like a first among equals on a seven-person board. Each governor gets one vote on interest rates. The chairman runs meetings and does press conferences, but they can be outvoted by the other six people in the room. Federal law sets exactly seven seats on this board, no more, no less. So if Powell refuses to vacate his governor seat, there's literally no chair for Kevin Warsh to sit in, even if the Senate confirms him unanimously. Historically, outgoing chairmen have stepped down gracefully to make room for their replacement. But Powell was under criminal investigation for actions he allegedly took as Fed chairman. Staying on the board means keeping access to the records and institutional protection he'd need to defend himself. The DOJ just dropped the investigation, likely to smooth Warsh's confirmation. But Powell has already said he intends to stay on the board anyway, at least until the matter is "fully resolved." Translation: he's not going anywhere voluntarily, and there's nothing the White House can legally do to force him out before 2028.

5 more sections in the app

  • 9:00 – 15:15Warsh's Baggage Problem
  • 15:15 – 20:21How the Fed Actually Works (and Why It Matters Now)
  • 20:21 – 24:37The Economic Storm Waiting on the Other Side
  • 24:37 – 30:45Supply Shocks the Fed Can't Fix
  • 30:45 – 35:30The Dollar Problem Nobody Wants to Say Out Loud
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